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  #26 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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stringbeans has a spectacular aura aboutstringbeans has a spectacular aura about
plus we'd be driving around mini hydrogen bombs.
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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Thats what I was trying to say earlier, the technology isn't here. Cost of goods alone make fuel cell technology a no go for quite some time. :)

There are still major technological issues to deal with and its going to take time, and I don't mean a year or two.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BongMan
yes very true I mean the cell technology is here now cars could work wonderfully on the stuff we jsut cant mass produce the hydrogen needed as of yet..

Last edited by Leviathan; Dec 15, 04 at 12:37 PM.
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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yep I would put it at 2 decades if oil jumps again. All that is needed I beleive is for oil to jump to around 80 bucks a barrel and we will begin to see some major money poured into fuel cell technolody..
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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They shoot 5000 psi hydrogen storage tanks with a rifle without any incident. Hydrogen contrary to popular belief is quite safe compared to gasoline or other gases like propane. It goes straight up!

Quote:
Originally Posted by stringbeans
plus we'd be driving around mini hydrogen bombs.
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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but if there was a car accident and it caused a leak to the storage tank, wouldn't that trigger the massive explosion? especially if the tank is that pressurized (5000 psi)? im not sure what current technologies are.. just asking out of curiosity :)
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  #31 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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not sure if somebody has said this, but there is going to be a new way of getting oil out of wheat (i think) reserves. apparently canada is the only country that has the technology to extract the oil. i'm gunna have to research this more.
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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^ yeah that's ethanol. gas stations are already supplying mixtures of normal gasoline with ethanol and it burns much cleaner (although older cars can't handle it).
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stringbeans
^ yeah that's ethanol. gas stations are already supplying mixtures of normal gasoline with ethanol and it burns much cleaner (although older cars can't handle it).
i'm pretty sure it's different than the whole ethanol thing.
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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Ethanol and hydrogen take more energy to make than they put out and
are thus create a net loss of energy. The hydrogen economy could fill
in a very small and I mean maybe 1% of the fossil fuel economy.

The thing with peak oil that was already pointed out is that it means
that we are half way, not that it's run out. This doesn't mean there
is no reason to be worried though. Anyone familiar with oil
production can tell you that when you first tap an oil well it's
basically under pressure and comes out with no real work. After that
is gone it's a lot more expensive and harder to pump out. So in other
words the reason that peak oil is so alarming to the experts is that
it means that once we reach it the cost of oil will never go down.
The effects of this to our economy and beyond will be devastating.

For any of you familiar with OPEC you'll know that the amount of oil
you are allowed to produce is directly related to known reserves. In
an effort to produce more oil, and make more money, almost every OPEC
country falsely inflated their stated reserves through the 80's. So
even as it stands it's likely that there is less oil than we are being
told. Saudi Arabia has the largest oil reserves of any OPEC nation
and if they have passed peak oil than by default the whole world has.

As for the Canadian tar sands. For starters there is a huge amount of
oil there, as much or more than Saudi Arabia has. The catch is that
the cost of extracting it is very high and will increase as cheap oil
increases in price. In other words the availability of cheap oil right
now is making it much less expensive to extract the tar sands oil.

At the end of the day the earth has one input of energy, the sun. The
fossil fuels that we have become so dependant on are in essence a
battery that has been charged by the sun. Unfortunately they took
millions of years to charge, thus being "fossil" fuels, and have been
rapidly depleted in less than 75 years.

So the question is what next? Well there's a lot of different
possibilities as far as how it's going to go down. An obvious
prediction is that it's going to lead to war's, after all we've been
fighting over oil for the last 50 years and there was more than enough
of it to go around. Beyond playing that guessing game the main
options that we have for generating power are as follows.

Nuclear: in short this is an expensive way of producing electricity
and has bad environmental problems yet to be addressed, namely what to
do with the waste products. Also with new technologies it's not as
likely but lets not forget Chernobyl.

Coal: still a very inexpensive form of generating energy which massive
reserves still available. The main draw back in that it's a very
dirty source of energy that creates massive amounts of greenhouse
gasses. Also the particulate that it puts into the air in mass
quantity is known to cause cancer.

Hydro Electric: while it's one of the least expensive and best ways to
generate power it only accounts for some 10% of the electricity used.
The other 90% is generated through coal or natural gas. As mentioned
coal is very undesirable because it's so polluting and natural gas is
going to run out.

Wind and Solar: these two are the cleanest sources and obviously renewable. Due to obvious limitations though they are not going to be able to replace the fossil fuel economy.

What this leaves us with is that there will be changes in the way that we live. Outsourcing of manufacturing jobs will eventually start to slow down as transportation costs rise. "Made in China" will be a lot less common. Food costs will increase as the world food supply is currently dependant on oil for everything from fertilizers, transportation, pesticides, and of course the tractors that work the fields. With that we'll also need to localize food production and it will once again become labour intensive. The 2000 mile salad that was delivered by semi trailers to Toronto in the middle of the winter will be a thing of the past.

If you want to read up on this just keep current with as many different sources as possible. This isn't a conspiracy theory and the best article I read on it recently was in the Economist, by any means a reliable source for information. The main reason I see for a lack of awareness on this issue is that really, who wants to think about this? There's, no pun interned, just no bright side to this issue.
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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exactly there is no reason to start stockin the bomb shelter with canned beans and flaked ham
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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I'm not sure how this relates to it only taking a 1% chunk out of the fossil fuel market? You have to look at the well to wheel efficiency of the whole system. A fuel cell is much more efficient than an internal combustion engine for instance. J Where did you come up with the 1% number? There are some big oil companies including cheveron texaco and shell that have invested quite a bit into the "hydrogen economy" I'm fairly certain it will happen, just not in the near future.

Quote:
Ethanol and hydrogen take more energy to make than they put out
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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Don't forget the damages hydro electric plants cause to the surrounding environment.
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old Dec 15, 04
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independent farming communities/race war a la Mad Max.
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  #39 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leviathan
There are some big oil companies including cheveron texaco and shell that have invested quite a bit into the "hydrogen economy" I'm fairly certain it will happen, just not in the near future.
Producing hydrogen is basically like charging a battery. It takes energy for us to create hydrogen. The problem is that it takes more energy to create than the output you get from the hydrogen. So again the reason that hydrogen will never replace fossil fuels is that it's not a fuel source.
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  #40 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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That is a much to simplistic view. As I have said before you need to look at the "Well to Wheel" efficiency, what you lose in the hydrogen generation you gain in the application of the hydrogen. If your argument were a sound one, then nobody would be looking into using hydrogen, you should do some research on iceland, they want to be the first country to have a hydrogen economy. Remember the reason we are looking into hydrogen is not because of efficiency but because of need. Nothing is 100% efficient. You do realize that there is energy lost in all energy conversion, mostly as heat. A hydro electric plant will lose significant energy in turning turbines etc, A nuclear plant loses a lot of energy in the way of heat.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Senior
Producing hydrogen is basically like charging a battery. It takes energy for us to create hydrogen. The problem is that it takes more energy to create than the output you get from the hydrogen. So again the reason that hydrogen will never replace fossil fuels is that it's not a fuel source.
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  #41 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Maybe I'm not understanding you correctly, I understand that hydrogen is not something that can be farmed, it has to be extracted and that takes energy. That energy can come from pretty much anywhere, it could be a hydroelectric plant, chemical reaction or pretty much anything, but this does not mean that its not going to replace gasoline, natural gas and other energy sources.
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  #42 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leviathan
Maybe I'm not understanding you correctly, I understand that hydrogen is not something that can be farmed, it has to be extracted and that takes energy. That energy can come from pretty much anywhere, it could be a hydroelectric plant, chemical reaction or pretty much anything, but this does not mean that its not going to replace gasoline, natural gas and other energy sources.
If you read what I said, you'll see that I'm NOT trying to tell you it
won't work at all. What I'm saying is that it's not going to be able
to replace fossil fuels.

Quote:
To make hydrogen you need water and electricity. Iceland has
plenty of water. It can also produce electricity cheaply and cleanly,
hydro power from its glacial rivers and waterfalls. From its craters
and crevices, huge stores of underground heat. Only 5% of geothermal
power has been tapped so far. One day, Iceland thinks it could use it
to provide enough green electricity to make hydrogen for itself and to
export to other parts of the world.
Hydrogen
Economy


If you read my previous post you'd notice that in N.A. we only
generate enough hydro electric to account for 10% of the electricity
we use. The rest is generated through natural gas (the large
majority), coal fired, and nuclear power plants. Never mind the
massive amount of energy we use in our cars. So as it stands with out fossil fuels we need to increase our production of electricity through renewable sources a 1000% just to meet current consumption. Now if you want to look at generating enough electricity to make enough hydrogen where will we get the electricity?

A country like Iceland with a population of less than 300,000, and abundant clean electricity could probably as this article suggests convert to hydrogen. Compare that to a country like the US with 300,000,000 people that use personal vehicles for 90% of their transportation. What about China a country of over 1,200,000,000 billion people that relies on coal for just over 2/3 of it's energy needs? The reality is that no amount of solar, wind, or hydro electric is going to be enough to replace fossil fuels.

What needs to change is the way we live. We need to live close to where we work and preferably be able to walk. We need to upgrade our passenger and freight rail systems. We need to start working on improving solar and wind powered technologies. We also need to start using less fossil fuels and stretching them out for as long as we can to ease the transition to alternatives.

Last edited by Senior; Dec 16, 04 at 01:07 PM. Reason: edit for clarity
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  #43 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
just why?
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senior
Producing hydrogen is basically like charging a battery. It takes energy for us to create hydrogen. The problem is that it takes more energy to create than the output you get from the hydrogen. So again the reason that hydrogen will never replace fossil fuels is that it's not a fuel source.
Hydrogen might have the ability (just like batteries) to replace fossil fuels because:

fossil fuels are extremely portable and this is why they are so widely used.. it's hard to fit a hydroelectric dam or nuclear power plant into your car. Hydrogen and batteries provide an alternate source of portable power... yes the hydrogen needs to be produced, but the idea is that it's produced from cleaner energy sources such as thermal, wind, wave, solar or hydro. The first four are 100% clean energy sources because we are simply using energy that would get disappated into random heat energy anyway and we're just using it for a specific purpose before that eventually happens, and we just end up with water as an endproduct (which we started with anyway).

If however, fossil fuels are used to produce hydrogen, then it is basically less effecient than what we have going right now, and of course this would be stupid, although I can see it happening in the States.

If batteries are charged using clean energy, then they are also very environmentally friendly, and they have the added bonus of having absolutely no exhaust emmisions - however the batteries themselves do have somewhat toxic chemicals in them.
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  #44 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
just why?
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senior
What needs to change is the way we live. We need to live close to where we work and preferably be able to walk. We need to upgrade our passenger and freight rail systems. We need to start working on improving solar and wind powered technologies. We also need to start using less fossil fuels and stretching them out for as long as we can to ease the transition to alternatives.
completely agreed, reduction is the only real solution.
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  #45 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Even if you are able to find alternatives, you still have to consider something called the PETRO-DOLLAR which is pegged to fuel production. Solar panels and wind mills can only do a fraction of what oil can do, and the American economy is predicated on more GROWTH with every year. Fuel production has to increase just to keep the economy afloat. Here's the interview again:

http://www.innersites.com/feet2fire/...f-09-26-04.ram

Skip the first ten minutes.
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  #46 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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I'll post some links later, but just to let you know, you can produce hydrogen without either electricity or water. Electrolysis is only one way of producing hydrogen, I've personally worked with methanol reformers that only needed a spark to ignite the flame, there is also other chemical methods being worked on as well, I'll post links to some companies later. Also remember that the devices running on hydrogen will be much more efficient than there current day counter parts. For example using a solid oxide fuel cell to power and heat your home.
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  #47 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leviathan
I'll post some links later, but just to let you know, you can produce hydrogen without either electricity or water. Electrolysis is only one way of producing hydrogen, I've personally worked with methanol reformers that only needed a spark to ignite the flame, there is also other chemical methods being worked on as well, I'll post links to some companies later. Also remember that the devices running on hydrogen will be much more efficient than there current day counter parts. For example using a solid oxide fuel cell to power and heat your home.
Sounds like a possibility, please post links.
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  #48 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leviathan
I'll post some links later, but just to let you know, you can produce hydrogen without either electricity or water. Electrolysis is only one way of producing hydrogen, I've personally worked with methanol reformers that only needed a spark to ignite the flame, there is also other chemical methods being worked on as well, I'll post links to some companies later. Also remember that the devices running on hydrogen will be much more efficient than there current day counter parts. For example using a solid oxide fuel cell to power and heat your home.
As it stands:

Global daily oil consumption is averaging more than 82 million barrels a day. Consumption is expected to swell to 140 million barrels a day by 2025, with most of the increase coming from China and India.

So the riddle is how are we going to replace this?
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  #49 (permalink)  
Old Dec 16, 04
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If the world runs out of power, they should set up buildings full of those power-generating fitness bikes and have people employed to riding those bikes 24/7 to power cities =) Or a big wheel in the middle of the town that people can gather around and push. It'll turn a giant gear that'll power everything. It'll be great. don't worry about it!
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  #50 (permalink)  
Old Dec 17, 04
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senior
As it stands:

Global daily oil consumption is averaging more than 82 million barrels a day. Consumption is expected to swell to 140 million barrels a day by 2025, with most of the increase coming from China and India.

So the riddle is how are we going to replace this?
Anyone? If you solve it you'll be the richest person in the world.
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